Macroeconomics is the main engine driving all financial markets: forex, equities, bonds, commodities and crypto. Understanding central bank decisions (Fed in the US, ECB in Europe, BoJ in Japan, BoE in the UK) and major data releases (CPI inflation, NFP jobs, GDP, PMI) is essential to anticipate trends and size exposure correctly.
Since 2022, the global monetary cycle has been dominated by fighting post-Covid and post-Ukraine war inflation: rapid hikes in 2022-2023 (Fed at 5.5%, ECB at 4%), then an easing cycle starting 2024-2025 as disinflation consolidated. 2026 shapes up as a pivotal year for central bank responses to economic slowdown and a new wave of US tariffs.
ActuTrading Economy covers monetary policy decisions (FOMC, ECB Governing Council), US and European macro releases (NFP, CPI, PCE, Ifo, PMI, ZEW), sovereign debt issues, and geopolitical impact on global trade balances.
CPI, INSEE, purchasing power, ECB impact: French inflation decoded.
Read →FOMC, dot plot, Fed funds rate, Powell guidance and market effects.
Read →Deposit rate, Lagarde, 2% inflation target, sovereign stress.
Read →25 years of dovish policy, NIRP exit, Kazuo Ueda and the yen.
Read →9-member MPC, Andrew Bailey, vote transparency, sterling pound.
Read →Frankenshock January 15, 2015, CHF safe-haven, Martin Schlegel.
Read →Michele Bullock, AUD commodity currency, China dependence.
Read →
Tokyo's inflation rate in May came in below expectations. The Bank of Japan may reconsider its plan to raise interest rates in June.
The Bank of Japan has seen its net profit plummet due to higher interest payments on commercial banks' reserves. Positive interest rates are proving costly.
Kevin Warsh takes the helm at the Fed amid a volatile situation: war with Iran, a FOMC that refuses to cut rates, and markets in panic mode. Not exactly the ideal start.
The Trump administration is preparing a massive funding program to boost U.S. exports of artificial intelligence. The tech war is heating up.
Hope Bancorp has just broken above its 200-day moving average. This is a technical signal that is often overinterpreted by traders and can hide a trap.
Every decision the Fed makes regarding interest rates affects the cost of U.S. student loans, with a lag of a few months.
The U.S. president has reiterated his desire to personally inspect the $700 billion in gold bars stored at Fort Knox. Conspiracy theories are resurfacing.
The U.S. president says the ceasefire with Iran is on life support. European stock markets are expected to open sharply lower on Tuesday.
Goldman Sachs has just pushed back its forecast for the Fed's first rate cut to December 2026. The reason: U.S. inflation, fueled by the war in Iran.
The U.S. Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision in April. This meeting is expected to be Jerome Powell’s last as head of the Fed.
Anthropic's CEO warns: AI has just detected tens of thousands of software vulnerabilities. Companies, banks, and governments have a narrow window to fix them before the situation spirals out of control.
According to ADP, the U.S. private sector added 109,000 jobs in April, well above the expected 99,000. This rebound is a game-changer ahead of Friday’s NFP report.