
⚠️ Larry McDonald predicts a 35% S&P 500 crash
Larry McDonald, former trader at Lehman, predicts a 35% crash of the S&P 500 against a backdrop of high rates and disillusionment over AI - a warning to be taken seriously, without falling into panic.
Stock markets remain the historic vehicle for building long-term wealth: 7% average annual return on the S&P 500 since 1928 (dividends reinvested, inflation-adjusted), roughly 4% on France's CAC 40 since 1988. The US concentrates 60% of global market cap, driven by mega-cap tech (Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, Meta, Google).
In France, the CAC 40 groups the 40 largest listings on Euronext Paris (LVMH, TotalEnergies, Sanofi, L'Oréal...). The SBF 120 extends to 120 names, and CAC Small/Mid covers more volatile small and mid caps with stronger growth potential.
ActuTrading Stocks covers mega-cap quarterly earnings (guidance, key figures, market reaction), monetary policy decisions that weigh on valuation multiples, major IPOs, dividend seasonality, and PEA-eligible strategies (EU only) versus standard brokerage accounts.
France's 40 largest listings. Composition, performance, analysis.
Read →US reference indexes, tech mega-caps, earnings seasons.
Read →Top 100 non-financial tech caps: Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia. QQQ ETF and PEA alternatives.
Read →Frankfurt's flagship index. SAP, Siemens, Allianz. Barometer of European economy.
Read →London's 100 largest post-Brexit caps. Shell, AstraZeneca, HSBC. High dividends.
Read →Japan's great comeback: Nikkei at highs since 1989. Toyota, Sony, SoftBank.
Read →Top 50 eurozone caps. ASML, SAP, LVMH, Total. The PEA Europe ETF reference.
Read →Yield strategies, dividend calendar, PEA and CTO taxation.
Read →CAC #1, Bernard Arnault's empire. 75 houses, Louis Vuitton, Dior, Tiffany.
Read →France's major #4 worldwide, 6% dividend, LNG + renewables transition.
Read →World #1 cosmetics, 36 brands. Lancôme, Maybelline, booming CeraVe in US.
Read →French big pharma, Dupixent blockbuster, 4% dividend, discounted valuation.
Read →Eurozone #1 bank, 6% dividend, 7 PE. Beneficiary of ECB rates.
Read →
Larry McDonald, former trader at Lehman, predicts a 35% crash of the S&P 500 against a backdrop of high rates and disillusionment over AI - a warning to be taken seriously, without falling into panic.

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